ARAMCO Report - The Mother of ALL Mortgage Blogs!

Home buyers could find best deals in Fall.

Posted by Mehran Aram on Tue, Oct 1, 2019 @ 06:10 AM

The days are getting shorter, school is back in session and the triple-digit heat is gone. Autumn has officially arrived. But while the weather is cooling, the housing market may not be. In fact, according to a report from Realtor.com, the best time to purchase a home is the first week of Fall.

After the summer, buyers tend to have less competition which often translates into greater leverage when making offers. Out of the 52 major markets in the U.S., 41 reported the last week of September is the best time to buy. Competition tends to be reduced by up to 26 percent and inventory increases by 6.1 percent.

Buying a home in the latter part of the year is also the last chance for buyers to add the tax benefits to the follow year’s return. Sellers are also more inclined to sell in the fall to avoid having to move during the holidays.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.75 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home buying, home purchase, Mortgage rates, Realtor.com, home buyers, Competitive Housing Market, Home Buying Seson

Fall comes early for the housing market

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sun, Sep 15, 2019 @ 07:09 AM

Realtor.com reported this week that home prices fell 1.8 percent in August, unordinary for a month that traditionally still sees summer homebuyers clamoring over real estate.

“What it tells us is, fall came earlier than expected,” said Senior Economist George Ratiu of Realtor.com. A lot of homes on the market are too expensive, and a lot of buyers are taking a break.”

This coincides with a new Realtor.com survey that shows both buyers are sellers are concerned that a recession is on the horizen. Fifty-six percent of prospective home shoppers say that is causing them to rethink their home purchase for now.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article

Topics: home prices, home purchase, real estate, homebuyers, Mortgage rates, Home Sellers, Home Shoppers

Millennials want to own – they just can’t afford it

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Sep 7, 2019 @ 07:09 AM

Although an increasing number of young adults say home ownership is among their top goals, data shows that unaffordable prices and mounting student loan debt is making this goal harder to achieve. In a survey conducted jointly by CoreLogic and RTi Research shows that more than a quarter of millennials are interested in purchasing a home within the next year.

The increase in Millennial home buyers entering the market putting increased pressure on home prices as well.

“A growing number of millennials are expressing an interest in buying homes, reinforcing the theory that this cohort is continuing to engage within the housing market,” said Frank Martell, president and CEO of CoreLogic. “But with so few homes available for sale, the imbalance has created an affordability crisis that is getting worse every day.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Millennials, home purchase, Housing Market, CoreLogic, home ownership, Mortgage rates, Housing Affordability, Millennial Homeowners, Affordability, Young Adults

Home prices beyond affordable

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Jul 8, 2019 @ 09:07 AM

The gap between what homebuyers want to pay for a home and what a home costs appears to be growing. A study conducted by Realtor.com found that, nationally, half of today’s house-hunters are looking to purchase a property for under $288,000. But that’s a 9.1 percent gap or $27,000 less than the median national home price.

Experts boil the dilemma down to the basic economic principle of supply and demand. There simply aren’t enough homes on the market that the average American can afford to buy. Although inventory is growing, it’s doing as at the top of the market – home's priced above $750,000.

“Entry-level homes continue to be difficult to come by as the inventory composition shifts more and more toward higher prices homes,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. “This is causing smaller and more affordable homes to appreciate rapidly, resulting in a mismatch between what buyers are able to spend and what sellers expect to receive.”

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, home purchase, homebuyers, Mortgage rates, Realtor.com, Realtors, median home price, Affordability, home inventory

Low mortgage rates saving homeowners millions

Posted by Mehran Aram on Wed, Jul 3, 2019 @ 16:07 PM

With mortgage rates near their lowest point in years, millions of homeowners could benefit from refinancing their current mortgage. According to real estate analytics firm Black Knight, 8.2 million borrowers could lower their monthly mortgage payments by at least 75 basis points. That’s about $266 per month in savings.

Since mortgage rates began their steady decline last quarter, the volume of refinances has increased significantly. Mortgage applications to refinance a home loan were up 92 percent last week on a year-over-year basis.

In addition to locking in lower rates, refinance also provide the opportunity for borrowers to tap into their home’s equity. With rising home values, Black Knight has reported that the average homeowner has $136,000 in tappable equity.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, homeowners, home equity, Mortgage applications, refinance, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Payments, Refi, Low Mortgage Rates

Pending home sales rebound in May

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Jul 1, 2019 @ 05:07 AM

The National Association of Realtors reported last week that after a setback in April, pending home sales bounced back in May, increasing 1.1 percent. The NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index is a measure of newly signed contracts for home purchases.

The increase was not enough to push home sales back to 2018 levels, making May the seventeenth consecutive month of year-over-year declines. With mortgage rates remaining low ahead of the busy summer home-buying season, some speculate that the slowing sales pace could reverse course.

“Rates of 4 percent, and in some cases even lower create extremely attractive conditions for consumers,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Job creation and a rise in inventory will nonetheless drive more buyers to enter the market.”

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage rates, home purchases, Pending Home Sales

Home Purchase Sentiment near record high

Posted by Mehran Aram on Wed, Jun 12, 2019 @ 06:06 AM

Exactly one year after setting a record high, Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment has nearly done it again. The HSPI for May 2019 had a reading of 92.0, just shy of matching the all-time high reached in May 2018 of 92.3, largely because of a substantial 13-point increase in the number of Americans who believe now is a good time to buy a home.

In addition to respondents becoming decidedly more convinced that market conditions are ripe to buy a home, consumers also believe that home prices would increase in the near-future while mortgage rates would decline.

Meanwhile, the net share of respondents who believe now is a good time to sell home a declined 3-points from the same month last year.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, home purchase, Fannie Mae, Mortgage rates, Home Purchase Sentiment

Fannie Mae: consumers remain bearish about home buying

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, May 11, 2019 @ 06:05 AM

Inventory rates slowly climbing, and mortgage rates hold steady did little to turn consumers on to the idea of buying a home last month. Fannie Mae reported it its Home Purchase Sentiment Index this week that net positive responses to the question about whether now is a good time to buy a home fell 8 points in April. This is a significant 15 percentage points lower than the same month last year.

Despite the negative sentiment about buying a home, consumers seem optimistic that conditions will continue to improve in the coming months. The share of those who believe rates will decline over the next year climbed 12 points over between March and April.

Historically, the net percentage of American’s who feel conditions are ripe to purchase a home increases in the summer months which are traditionally known as “home-buying season”.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home buying, home purchase, Fannie Mae, Mortgage rates, consumer, Home Purchase Sentiment

Homeowner tax breaks for 2018 still up in the air

Posted by Mehran Aram on Thu, Feb 7, 2019 @ 05:02 AM

Although much of the focus is on border security, Congress has another big decision to make in the coming months: the renewal of certain tax breaks. Homeowners who itemize their deductions may still deduct the interest they paid on their home loan in 2018 but only up to certain limits.

In a tax code change that could disproportionately affect those living in pricier markets like California, the mortgage interest deduction is now capped at $750,000, down from $1 million for married couples. This applies to new home loans originated in 2017 or later. The new law also eliminates unlimited interest deductions for both new and existing home equity loans unless the loan was taken out to pay for property renovations.

Borrowers who purchase a home with a less than 20 percent down payment are often straddled with private mortgage insurance. In the past, some of these premiums were deductible however Congress has yet to extend this tax break for this tax season.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.375 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.75 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, homeowners, Mortgage rates, California Housing Market, Mortgage Interest Deduction, Mortgage Interest, Taxes, Tax Break, Deductions, Home Loans

ARAMCO Report - Monday May 25, 2015

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, May 25, 2015 @ 11:05 AM

Purchases out pace refinances, first time since December

More people sought mortgages in order to purchase a home during the month of April 2015 than did those who were looking to refinance according Ellie Mae — a mortgage processing company. This is the first month since December 2014 that purchases outpaced refinances.

Approximately 52 percent of mortgages were for purchases in April as opposed to the 47 percent that were for refinances. 

Purchase originations should continue to outpace refinance applications as low interest rates tick up over the course of 2015. This is because the financial reasons that lead households to purchase a new home are different than the reasons households might seek to refinance. 

Fed Chair Janet Yellen again corroborated on 5/22/15 that it will be “appropriate” for the Fed to raise interest rates later this year. This one of the primary reasons purchase originations should continue to outpace refinances for the rest of 2015 as a healthier economy and stronger labor market should offset potential homebuyer concern that mortgage rates will go up in the future.

Potential homebuyers or people currently looking to refinance will find current mortgage rates near all-time lows as conforming no point 30-year mortgage rates average 3.875 percent while 15-year rates average 3.125 percent.

Topics: home purchase, 30 year fixed rates, Mortgage applications, Home refinance,