ARAMCO Report - The Mother of ALL Mortgage Blogs!

Home prices beyond affordable

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Jul 8, 2019 @ 09:07 AM

The gap between what homebuyers want to pay for a home and what a home costs appears to be growing. A study conducted by Realtor.com found that, nationally, half of today’s house-hunters are looking to purchase a property for under $288,000. But that’s a 9.1 percent gap or $27,000 less than the median national home price.

Experts boil the dilemma down to the basic economic principle of supply and demand. There simply aren’t enough homes on the market that the average American can afford to buy. Although inventory is growing, it’s doing as at the top of the market – home's priced above $750,000.

“Entry-level homes continue to be difficult to come by as the inventory composition shifts more and more toward higher prices homes,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. “This is causing smaller and more affordable homes to appreciate rapidly, resulting in a mismatch between what buyers are able to spend and what sellers expect to receive.”

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, home purchase, homebuyers, Mortgage rates, Realtor.com, Realtors, median home price, Affordability, home inventory

Low mortgage rates saving homeowners millions

Posted by Mehran Aram on Wed, Jul 3, 2019 @ 16:07 PM

With mortgage rates near their lowest point in years, millions of homeowners could benefit from refinancing their current mortgage. According to real estate analytics firm Black Knight, 8.2 million borrowers could lower their monthly mortgage payments by at least 75 basis points. That’s about $266 per month in savings.

Since mortgage rates began their steady decline last quarter, the volume of refinances has increased significantly. Mortgage applications to refinance a home loan were up 92 percent last week on a year-over-year basis.

In addition to locking in lower rates, refinance also provide the opportunity for borrowers to tap into their home’s equity. With rising home values, Black Knight has reported that the average homeowner has $136,000 in tappable equity.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, homeowners, home equity, Mortgage applications, refinance, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Payments, Refi, Low Mortgage Rates

Pending home sales rebound in May

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Jul 1, 2019 @ 05:07 AM

The National Association of Realtors reported last week that after a setback in April, pending home sales bounced back in May, increasing 1.1 percent. The NAR’s Pending Home Sales Index is a measure of newly signed contracts for home purchases.

The increase was not enough to push home sales back to 2018 levels, making May the seventeenth consecutive month of year-over-year declines. With mortgage rates remaining low ahead of the busy summer home-buying season, some speculate that the slowing sales pace could reverse course.

“Rates of 4 percent, and in some cases even lower create extremely attractive conditions for consumers,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR’s chief economist. “Job creation and a rise in inventory will nonetheless drive more buyers to enter the market.”

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage rates, home purchases, Pending Home Sales

Home Purchase Sentiment near record high

Posted by Mehran Aram on Wed, Jun 12, 2019 @ 06:06 AM

Exactly one year after setting a record high, Fannie Mae’s Home Purchase Sentiment has nearly done it again. The HSPI for May 2019 had a reading of 92.0, just shy of matching the all-time high reached in May 2018 of 92.3, largely because of a substantial 13-point increase in the number of Americans who believe now is a good time to buy a home.

In addition to respondents becoming decidedly more convinced that market conditions are ripe to buy a home, consumers also believe that home prices would increase in the near-future while mortgage rates would decline.

Meanwhile, the net share of respondents who believe now is a good time to sell home a declined 3-points from the same month last year.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, home purchase, Fannie Mae, Mortgage rates, Home Purchase Sentiment

Fannie Mae: consumers remain bearish about home buying

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, May 11, 2019 @ 06:05 AM

Inventory rates slowly climbing, and mortgage rates hold steady did little to turn consumers on to the idea of buying a home last month. Fannie Mae reported it its Home Purchase Sentiment Index this week that net positive responses to the question about whether now is a good time to buy a home fell 8 points in April. This is a significant 15 percentage points lower than the same month last year.

Despite the negative sentiment about buying a home, consumers seem optimistic that conditions will continue to improve in the coming months. The share of those who believe rates will decline over the next year climbed 12 points over between March and April.

Historically, the net percentage of American’s who feel conditions are ripe to purchase a home increases in the summer months which are traditionally known as “home-buying season”.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home buying, home purchase, Fannie Mae, Mortgage rates, consumer, Home Purchase Sentiment

Homeowner tax breaks for 2018 still up in the air

Posted by Mehran Aram on Thu, Feb 7, 2019 @ 05:02 AM

Although much of the focus is on border security, Congress has another big decision to make in the coming months: the renewal of certain tax breaks. Homeowners who itemize their deductions may still deduct the interest they paid on their home loan in 2018 but only up to certain limits.

In a tax code change that could disproportionately affect those living in pricier markets like California, the mortgage interest deduction is now capped at $750,000, down from $1 million for married couples. This applies to new home loans originated in 2017 or later. The new law also eliminates unlimited interest deductions for both new and existing home equity loans unless the loan was taken out to pay for property renovations.

Borrowers who purchase a home with a less than 20 percent down payment are often straddled with private mortgage insurance. In the past, some of these premiums were deductible however Congress has yet to extend this tax break for this tax season.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.375 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.75 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home purchase, homeowners, Mortgage rates, California Housing Market, Mortgage Interest Deduction, Mortgage Interest, Taxes, Tax Break, Deductions, Home Loans

ARAMCO Report - Monday May 25, 2015

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, May 25, 2015 @ 11:05 AM

Purchases out pace refinances, first time since December

More people sought mortgages in order to purchase a home during the month of April 2015 than did those who were looking to refinance according Ellie Mae — a mortgage processing company. This is the first month since December 2014 that purchases outpaced refinances.

Approximately 52 percent of mortgages were for purchases in April as opposed to the 47 percent that were for refinances. 

Purchase originations should continue to outpace refinance applications as low interest rates tick up over the course of 2015. This is because the financial reasons that lead households to purchase a new home are different than the reasons households might seek to refinance. 

Fed Chair Janet Yellen again corroborated on 5/22/15 that it will be “appropriate” for the Fed to raise interest rates later this year. This one of the primary reasons purchase originations should continue to outpace refinances for the rest of 2015 as a healthier economy and stronger labor market should offset potential homebuyer concern that mortgage rates will go up in the future.

Potential homebuyers or people currently looking to refinance will find current mortgage rates near all-time lows as conforming no point 30-year mortgage rates average 3.875 percent while 15-year rates average 3.125 percent.

Topics: home purchase, 30 year fixed rates, Mortgage applications, Home refinance,

ARAMCO Report - Thursday May 7, 2015

Posted by The Aramco Group on Thu, May 7, 2015 @ 14:05 PM

A Place in the Market for Flipped Homes

Relatively high gross returns on investment demonstrate that there is still a place for house flipping in the national and local real estate markets. RealtyTrac revealed that 4 percent of total single-family home sales, or 17,309 homes, were flipped in the first quarter of 2015. San Diego County accounted for 6.1 percent of the total volume or 1,055 homes.

There is a demand for move-in ready houses that have been retrofitted for modern tastes especially as there is a shortage of new housing starts recently and inventories are growing slim.

The average gross profit, nationally, for completed flips in the first quarter was $72,450, up from $65,290 in the last quarter of 2014. The average gross return on investment (ROI) was 35.1 percent for completed flips in the first quarter, which was only slightly down from 35.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2014.

Those looking to sell their home and then purchase a new one will find mortgage rates near an all-time low. Conforming no point 30-year fixed mortgages are averaging 3.875 percent while 15-year mortgages are averaging 3.125 percent.

For more information on a home purchase, refinance, or a reverse mortgage, visit our website at Aramco.Biz or call me at (877) 700-0942. This is Mehran Aram with today's ARAMCO Report.

Ask Mehran Aram

 

Topics: home purchase, RealtyTrac, Flipping Homes, 30 year fixed rates, home selling

Buying a New Home with a Reverse Mortgage

Posted by The Aramco Group on Thu, Apr 23, 2015 @ 13:04 PM

Did you know there is a way to buy a home and never make a mortgage payment?

Imagine this scenario:

You have $200,000 and you are looking for the perfect home that suits your retirement.

You are looking forward to buying your next home outright because you have spent a lifetime making monthly mortgage payments and to continue to would be a drag.

You are scared that $200,000 is not enough to find a home in San Diego.

You and your spouse engage a realtor, and look around the San Diego area for a perfect home or condominium, and you are disappointed that you cannot find any homes that…

1) Suit your family’s needs,

2) Are in your price range, and

3) Are in the neighborhood you want them to be.

Is this home the right size?

What are you to do?

Consider a using a reverse mortgage as a tool to get the right home.

If you or your loved one are over the age of 62, then you might qualify for a Reverse Mortgage for Purchase. It could expand your buying power and you still won’t have to make mortgage payments — if you do not want to!

The loan amount one can qualify for with a Reverse Mortgage for Purchase is based on the age of the youngest borrower. If the youngest borrower is 62 or over, then the loan can be the lesser of 52% the home’s appraisal value, the purchase price or the maximum lending limit.

Let’s go back to our situation where you and your spouse have $200,000 and are looking for the perfect San Diego home to right-size into retirement. If you and your loved one are 62 and qualify for a reverse mortgage, then 52% of the appraised value of the home you find can be covered by the reverse mortgage! 

You find the perfect home for $390,000. You could never afford it without a loan (or a winning lotto ticket), but with your reverse mortgage covering 52% ($202,800) now you can use $187,200 of your money to buy a home worth nearly twice as much as you could have purchased in cash.

Even better: the Reverse Mortgage for Purchase works just like a normal Reverse Mortgage. You retain the title to the home, and the loan does not come due until the last borrower leaves the home. The loan is non-recourse, so the bank can never come after you, your heirs or your estate regardless of what happens in the housing market.

You got everything that you set out to accomplish: you found a home that…

  • Suits your family’s needs,
  • Is in the right neighborhood,
  • Requires NO monthly mortgage payments,
  • And was within reach of your original budget!

You got everything you were looking for with the help of a reverse mortgage!

Look around you for a moment, and try to see the nooks and crannies of your home in a new light. Would you like to spend your future in a home that is better suited to your needs? If so, call ARAMCO Financial at (760) 438 – 2552 to see if a Reverse Mortgage for Purchase is right for you. Or sign up for our free educational workshop at www.ARAMCO.biz.

Don’t just downsize, right-size with a reverse mortgage!

Topics: Reverse Mortgage, HECM, home prices, home purchase, San Diego, purchase, Price, Reverse Mortgage for Purchase, Home Purchasing, HECM for Purchase

ARAMCO Report - Thursday April 9, 2015

Posted by The Aramco Group on Thu, Apr 9, 2015 @ 14:04 PM

San Diego Homes are Moving Quickly

San Diego is the 10th fastest housing market in the country with a median of 43 days between listing and sale according to the National Association of Realtors. The median amount of time nationwide is currently 89 days — 13 percent lower than a year ago. However, the median sale price in San Diego County was $39,000 less than the median list price as of February, 2015 according to the Zillow Home Value Index.  Meanwhile, it seems that more individual home-buyers are re-entering the housing market. Cash home sales are down nationally for the 25th month in a row, and since the majority of cash sales are by investors speculating in the real estate market a decline in cash sales reflects individual home buyers re-entering as home prices increase. According to CoreLogic, cash sales comprised 38.9 percent of all housing transactions in January 2015. That is compared to the 25 percent share of total home sales that were conducted in cash prior to the housing crisis.

Current conforming no point 30 year fixed mortgage rates average 3.75 percent while 15-year rates average 3.0 percent.

For more information on a home purchase, refinance, or a reverse mortgage, visit our website at Aramco.Biz or call me at (877) 700-0942. This is Mehran Aram with today's ARAMCO Report.

Ask Mehran Aram


Topics: home sales, home buying, home purchase, homeowners, Housing Market, 30 year fixed rates, homebuyers, homeownership, housing recovery