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Consumer confidence in housing market at record high

Posted by Mehran Aram on Tue, Aug 13, 2019 @ 06:08 AM

Low mortgage rates and unemployment figures in July helped boost consumer confidence to the highest levels ever record. According to Fannie Mae’s monthly index, “confidence about not losing job” and “mortgage rates will go down” rose significantly.

Although home buyers continue to battle against rising prices and low inventory, particularly for entry-level homes, mortgage rates dropping last month helped boost confidence that the future of the housing market would remain strong.

More consumers reported in July’s survey that now is a good time to buy a home and a growing number of respondents believe that home values will continue to rise over the next year.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, Fannie Mae, Mortgage rates, consumer confidence, home buyers, U.S. Housing Market, home inventory

Homebuyers call ceasefire in bidding wars

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Aug 12, 2019 @ 05:08 AM

The number of home buyers engaging in bidding wars with other buyers has dropped more than 45 percent over the last year. Only 11.2 percent of offers written by Redfin agents faced homebuyer competition, the lowest rate in eight years.

This is a radical change from the peak reached in March 2018 when 59 percent of home purchases ended in a bidding war.

San Diego appears to be fighting against the national trend. The local housing market still faces fierce competition with 21.3 percent of Redfin sales seeing a bidding war. This makes San Diego the second most competitive housing market in the U.S. The current volume of bidding wars is up from 19.4 percent in June but down significantly from 61.5 percent in July 2018.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: San Diego, Housing Market, Redfin, Mortgage rates, home purchases, bidding war, San Diego Housing

Mortgage delinquencies spike

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Aug 10, 2019 @ 09:08 AM

Following a record low in May, mortgage delinquencies nationwide shot up 11 percent in June to 3.73 percent. This is the biggest one-month spike in nearly 10 years. However, according to a statement from Black Knight, the abrupt increase may be a fluke related to the calendar.

“The month ended on a Sunday, which means servicing operations are closed on the last two days of the month and cannot process last-minute payments,” Black Knight said. The statement also noted that month’s ending in a Sunday have contributed to nine of the 10 largest single-month delinquency gains in the last seven years.

The June increase follows a record low the prior months when late payments fell to just 3.36 percent of all mortgaged homes. This has contributed to a historic low in foreclosures as well.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, foreclosures, Black Knight, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Delinquencies, Late Payments

Freddie Mac predicts bright future for housing

Posted by Mehran Aram on Tue, Aug 6, 2019 @ 07:08 AM

Mortgage giant Freddie Mac shared last week its monthly forecast on the housing market. In a statement, the government-run corporation, said that low mortgage rates and further gains in the job market will continue to “help sustain the housing market for at least the next year and a half.”

Mortgage rates are forecast to decline even further than they already have, landing at just around 4 percent by 2020 for 30-year fixed-rate home loans. Although savings on borrowing costs will be offset by further increases expected in home prices. Price growth is currently forecast to climb 3.4 percent this year and another 2.6 percent next year.

Freddie Mac purchases home loans from banks and repackages them into mortgage-backed securities that it can then sell to other financial institutions.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Interest Rates, Housing Market, Freddie Mac, Mortgage rates

Advanced degrees pay off for house-hunters

Posted by Mehran Aram on Fri, Jul 19, 2019 @ 05:07 AM

In the current housing market where mortgage payments can eat up a large part of the median salary, having an advanced degree can go a long way. A new study conducted by Zillow shows that in many high-priced California cities, homes are largely limited to those with the advanced degrees that yield higher salaries.

The analysis found that median mortgage payments are affordable for those with a high school education in 36 of the 50 largest U.S. metros. The remaining 14 markets require wages associated with at least two-years of college. Income levels for university graduates are necessary to afford a median priced home in many West Coast metros including San Diego.

In even pricier markets like San Jose and San Francisco, monthly mortgage payments are within the brackets of those earning the typical income of someone with a post-graduate degree.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, Wages, Zillow, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Payments, House Hunters, Advanced Degree

Real estate history repeats itself

Posted by Mehran Aram on Wed, Jul 17, 2019 @ 05:07 AM

Wage increases not keeping up with the rising cost of living has been plaguing the housing market for several years, but a new study of historical trends shows that this dilemma has been frustrating buyers for decades.

A report from Clever Real Estate shows that median home prices have surged 121 percent nationwide since 1960 while household income increased just 29 percent. Renters have also felt the pain of rising prices with a 72 percent increase since 1960.

Homes in the West have felt this problem more acutely as median home prices have risen 195 percent over the past five decades, compared to wages rising only 26 percent over the same time period.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, Wages, Renters, household income, home buyers, median home price, Cost of Living, Historical Home Prices

Housing market shifting in favor of buyers

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Jun 8, 2019 @ 08:06 AM

After years of record low inventory levels, an influx of homes on the market is helping solidify speculation made by experts that 2019 may be the year the housing market finally shifts in favor of buyers. As mortgage rates decline, homeowners are seeing an opportunity to move and listing their home for sale.

“The U.S. housing market has largely favored sellers over the last several years as a result of the record-breaking low inventory and red-hot demand that led to intense competition and fast-rising home prices,” said Realtor.com’s Chief Economist Danielle Hale. “Slowing sales and growing inventories have caused supply to increase in many markets across the country.”

With more homes expected to be listed for sale this summer, the prevalence of bidding wars that have been seen in previous years is likely to be lessened.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent..

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home sales, Housing Market, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage rates, Realtor.com, U.S. Housing Market, National Housing Market

Builder confidence gets a boost

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sun, Jun 2, 2019 @ 09:06 AM

Sales of newly built homes are on the rise, giving homebuilders a boost in confidence as the rest of the housing market seems to be in a slump. Builder confidence in newly built, single-family homes rose three points in May to a reading of 66. Anything above 50 is generally considered positive however this is lower than the reading of 70 in May 2018. This latest information comes from the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index.

Demand for new homes continues to remain high. The index’s component measuring sales expectations for the next six months rose to a reading of 72 last month.

“This lower-interest rate environment, along with ongoing job growth and rising wages, is contributing to a gradual improvement in the marketplace,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, National Association of Home Builders, new homes, single family homes, NAHB, Mortgage rates, Home Builder Confidence

Pending home sales retreat for 16th consecutive month

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Jun 1, 2019 @ 08:06 AM

Even with falling mortgage rates in recent weeks, pending home sales, which are a measure of signed contracts to purchase existing homes, dropped 1.5 percent in April, compared to March. On a year-over-year basis contract signings fell by two percent – the sixteenth consecutive month of annual declines.

The decline in pending home sales, according to data from the National Association of Realtors, is not indictive of the health of the overall housing market and points to other, more positive trends.

“Though the latest monthly figure shows a mild decline in contract signings, mortgage applications and consumer confidence have been steadily rising,” said NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “It’s inevitable for sales to turn higher in a few months.”

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage applications, NAR, Mortgage rates, Pending Home Sales, Existing Homes, Signed Contracts

Foreign real-estate investors continue to eye U.S. housing

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, May 20, 2019 @ 05:05 AM

Demand from foreign investors for American homes has not waned despite a strengthening U.S. dollar, rising prices and looming trade wars. According to a survey conducted by the Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate, 95 percent of foreign buyers stated they plan to maintain or increase their purchase activity in the U.S.

Chinese buyers, who surpassed Canadian buyers in 2014 as the largest block of international buyers, accounted for approximately 25 percent of total foreign investment in residential real estate in 2018. This is according to the National Association of Realtors. Canadians remain the second largest group of foreign investors with 9 percent.

While investment of homes in the U.S. by Chinese and Canadian buyers may seem like a sizable amount, foreign investment in the American housing market is less than 3 percent of total home sales.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, Mortgage rates, Foreign Investors, Foreign Real Estate Investors, Chinese Investors, American Housing Market, Association of Foreign Investors in Real Estate, Chinese Buyers, Residential Real Estate Investors, Residential Real Estate