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California housing shortage worse than previously thought

Posted by Mehran Aram on Thu, Aug 29, 2019 @ 06:08 AM

After several months of prodding by Gov. Gavin Newsom, the Southern California Association of Governments, representing half of the state’s population, agreed in June to zone for the development of 430,000 new homes through 2029. Apparently, that figure is short of what is actually needed, drastically so.

According to a letter released by state housing officials last week, the need over the next decade is closer to 1.3 million new homes. Even this new estimate is still far off from the 3.5 million dwellings Newsom is pushing for.

The call for more housing comes as California is battling an unprecedented housing shortage.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.625 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.125 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: new homes, new housing, Mortgage rates, California Housing Market, Affordable Housing, housing shortage, Gavin Newsom, California Housing Shortage

Home flipping activity at 9-year high

Posted by Mehran Aram on Fri, Jun 14, 2019 @ 06:06 AM

The volume of home flipping is at its highest level since 2010, suggesting that investors are not at all deterred by high home prices. The resurgence of home flipping is seen as positive by industry experts who say the practice helps alleviate housing shortages and brings upgraded homes onto the market, while some claim it can drive prices artificially high.

Homes flipped in the first quarter of 2019 represented 7.2 percent of all home sales during the quarter – up from 5.9 percent the previous quarter and up from 6.7 percent a year ago. Home flipping is the purchase of and subsequent sale of a property within 12 months. Investors often make renovations to the home and then sell it for a profit.

High home prices are taking their toll on returns, however, with the average gross profit during Q1 at $60,000 – down from $62,000 in the previous quarter and $68,000 in Q1 2018.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 3.875 percent and 15-year rates are near 3.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, Mortgage rates, housing shortage, Home Flipping, House Flip

Where California’s new homes are being built

Posted by Mehran Aram on Tue, May 21, 2019 @ 05:05 AM

There is an ongoing housing shortage in California that experts by-and-large have collectively labeled a crisis. Builders appear to be working to address this shortage but continue to fall short of meeting demand.

Southern California appears to be bringing new homes online at a much faster rate than the north. Los Angeles had 3,0002 single-family properties and a whopping 12,828 multi-family dwellings completed last year. Other SoCal cities with a high volume of new single-family homes include Irvine (1,945), San Diego (940) and Menifee (883). In Northern California, the state capital led the pack. Sacramento had 1,654 new single-family homes built in 2018.

The California Department of Finance reports that the total number of new residences built last year was about 97,000. To compare in 2006 there 200,000.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: new homes, Mortgage rates, California Housing Market, San Diego Housing Market, housing shortage, Southern California Housing Market, California Department of Finance, California Housing Shortage

Calif. revised budget includes $1.75 billion for housing

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, May 13, 2019 @ 05:05 AM

California Gov. Gavin Newsom, in his revised state budget announced last week, proposed a record $213.5 billion spending plan for the next fiscal year. This includes a $1.75 billion investment in housing production aimed to curb a housing shortage that has plagued the state for years. One change from this revised budget, compared to the original released in January, is that the revised version refocuses $500 million on programs “to remove barriers to building mixed income housing”.

California is aimed to spend $1 billion on addressing homelessness, double the amount originally proposed in January.

“The homeless issue is out of control,” Newsom said. “This homeless issue, like the housing issue, is a crisis. It is a stain on the state of California”

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Mortgage rates, housing shortage, Homelessness, Gavin Newsom, Housing Investment, California Budget, Governor Gavin Newsom, Governor of California

Home builder confidence remains flat

Posted by Mehran Aram on Fri, Apr 19, 2019 @ 05:04 AM

The confidence level among homebuilders in the U.S. appears to be holding steady even in the aftermath of the government shutdown that kicked off the year and the lackluster pace of home sales that followed.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose by one point to a reading of 63 in April, bolstered by low mortgage rates. Builder confidence has held steady in the low 60s for three consecutive months.

“Builders report solid demand for new single-family homes but they are also grappling with affordability concerns stemming from a chronic shortage of construction workers and buildable lots,” said NAHB Chairman Greg Ugalde. “Ongoing job growth, favorable demographics and a low-interest rate environment will help to modestly spark sales growth in the near term.”

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, National Association of Home Builders, Home Builders, single family homes, Mortgage rates, Housing Affordability, housing shortage, Affordability, Home Builder Confidence

Home prices reach record high

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sun, Apr 7, 2019 @ 10:04 AM

The average list price for a home in the U.S. has reached $300,000 for the first time according to Realtor.com’s Housing Trend Report.

“The typical U.S. home list price has set a new high right on the cusp of the spring homebuying season,” said Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. “Home prices will likely continue to set new records later this year.”

Despite recent increases in the supply of homes for sale, housing shortages continue to drive up prices. With much speculation that conditions are shifting towards favoring buyers, many sellers are taking a wait-and-see approach when considering listing their home.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home prices, Mortgage rates, Realtor.com, housing shortage, Homes for Sale, average list price, Housing Trends

Seniors holding on to their homes longer

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sun, Feb 10, 2019 @ 05:02 AM

More of America’s senior citizens are choosing to put off downsizing in retirement and instead are making the decision to stay in their family home. According to a new report from Freddie Mac, this may be a significant cause of the housing shortage that exists.

An analysis from Freddie Mac suggests that seniors choosing to age in place is responsible for at least 1.6 million homes not being listed for sale in 2018. For many seniors living on a fixed income, holding on to the family home is often made possible through powerful financial tools like reverse mortgages.

Improved health and longevity are giving retirees more reason to utilize their homes equity as a form of supplemental income. Reverse mortgages allow those 62 or older to not only eliminate existing mortgage payments but also to receive extra income in the form of a lump sum, monthly payout or a line of credit.

Meanwhile, conventional conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.375 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.75 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Reverse Mortgage, senior citizen, Retirement, Seniors, Freddie Mac, downsizing, Age in Place, housing shortage