ARAMCO Report - The Mother of ALL Mortgage Blogs!

Pending home sales retreat for 16th consecutive month

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Jun 1, 2019 @ 08:06 AM

Even with falling mortgage rates in recent weeks, pending home sales, which are a measure of signed contracts to purchase existing homes, dropped 1.5 percent in April, compared to March. On a year-over-year basis contract signings fell by two percent – the sixteenth consecutive month of annual declines.

The decline in pending home sales, according to data from the National Association of Realtors, is not indictive of the health of the overall housing market and points to other, more positive trends.

“Though the latest monthly figure shows a mild decline in contract signings, mortgage applications and consumer confidence have been steadily rising,” said NAR’s Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. “It’s inevitable for sales to turn higher in a few months.”

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.00 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Housing Market, National Association of Realtors, Mortgage applications, NAR, Mortgage rates, Pending Home Sales, Existing Homes, Signed Contracts

Mortgage activity spike as rates drop

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Apr 6, 2019 @ 06:04 AM

Mortgage applications skyrocketed last week after mortgage rates declined by their biggest one-week drop in more than a decade. The surge in mortgage activity was seen particularly in refinances which jumped up 39 percent compared to the previous week.

The current share of refinances as a percentage of total mortgage activity is current at its highest rate since January 2016. 47.4 percent of total mortgage applications last week were for refinances – up from 40.4 percent a week earlier.

Average borrowing costs continue to fall broadly, resulting in savings for consumers. Today conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Mortgage applications, Refinancing, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Activity

New report shows spring home-buying season in full swing

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Apr 1, 2019 @ 05:04 AM

The Mortgage Bankers Association’s weekly Market Composite Index showed that the first week of spring brought with it a large gain in mortgage activity. Driven largely by a surge in refinances due to dropping interest rates, mortgage application volume increased 8.9 percent last week on a seasonally adjusted basis. This is the third consecutive weekly increase and the largest in a non-holiday week since July 2015.

Refinances increased 12 percent and accounted for 40.4 percent of total mortage application volume. This is up from 39.2 percent the prior week. The Purchase Index rose by six percent.

Mortgage rates holding steady at their lowest point in a nearly a year will likely continue to drive up activity in the coming weeks and months. Conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: home buying, Spring Homebuying Season, Mortgage applications, Mortgage Bankers Association, Refinancing, Mortgage rates, home buyers

What is residential mortgage fraud?

Posted by Mehran Aram on Mon, Mar 25, 2019 @ 06:03 AM

The FBI defines mortgage fraud as “some type of material misstatement, misrepresentation or omission in relation to a mortgage loan, which then relied upon by a lender.”

Common forms of mortgage fraud include lying about income or employment, buying an investment property but claiming it is your primary home, not disclosing debts or even getting someone to co-sign on the loan just because they have good credit.

CoreLogic estimates that 1 in 109 mortgage applications could be somewhat fraudulent and the risk of mortgage fraud had increased by more than 12 percent between 2017 and 2018.

Meanwhile, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.125 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.625 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.00 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: CoreLogic, Mortgage applications, Mortgage rates, Mortgage Fraud

Lower rates stimulate mortgage activity

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Mar 16, 2019 @ 06:03 AM

Home owners and those looking to refinance their existing mortgage are taking advantage of decidedly lower mortgage rates as seen in last week’s increase in mortgage applications. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index, total mortgage application volume rose 2.3 percent last week with a sizeable increase in applications to purchase a home.

“Purchase applications have now increased year over year for four weeks, which signals healthy demand entering the busy spring buying season,” said Joel Kan, associate vice president of economist and industry forecasting for the MBA.

The Purchase Index climbed four percent last week – this is 2 percent higher than it was during the same time last year.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.25 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.75 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: homeowners, mortgage, Mortgage applications, Mortgage Bankers Association, refinance, Mortgage rates, low rates

Economic uncertainty drags down mortgage application volume

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Feb 16, 2019 @ 05:02 AM

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported this week that mortgage applications have dropped in volume again. This is the sixth decrease over the last eight weeks. The Market Composite Index, a measure of application volume declined by 3.7 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis during the week ended February 8. Declines in mortgage rates generally spur mortgage activity but trepidation about the overall economy seems to have countered that.

“Application activity fell last week – even with rates decreasing – as renewed uncertainty about the domestic and gobal economy likely held potential homebuyers off the market,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Associate Vice President of Industry Surveys and Forecasts. “The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage dropped to its lowest level since last March, and was 52 basis points lower than its recent high last November.”

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.25 percent, 15-year rates are near 3.75 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Mortgage applications, Mortgage rates, economy, Economic Uncertainty

Mortgage application continues to rally

Posted by Mehran Aram on Sat, Dec 8, 2018 @ 06:12 AM

Mortgage rates holding steady has resulted in an upswing in the number of applications to purchase a home last week. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, total mortgage application volume increased two percent during the week ended November 30.

Purchase applications rose one percent from the prior week while the Refinance Index shot up six percent. The share of applications to refinance an existing mortgage also climbed to 40.4 percent of total volume. This is the largest share of refinances since March.

While the rate of home sales has slowed as mortgage rates trended upward, the recent holding position in borrowing costs have produce two consecutive weeks of increases in total mortgage applications.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.75 percent, 15-year rates are near 4.125 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.375 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: Mortgage applications, Mortgage rates

Mortgage applications rebound but deeper look shows trouble

Posted by The Aramco Group on Fri, Oct 26, 2018 @ 04:10 AM

Columbus Day seems to have skewed the volume of mortgage applications over the past two weeks. While the Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting an increase in weekly application volume for the period ended October 19, a closer examination of the seasonally adjusted figures paints a different picture.

Total mortgage application volume climbed 4.9 percent last week from the previous week when seasonally adjusted. This follows a large drop the week before when the number of applications reported by the MBA were not adjusted to account for Columbus Day. When taking the holiday into account, mortgage activity is lower than it was two weeks prior and 16 percent lower than the same period last year.

Refinancing saw a 10 percent weekly increase but remain 32 percent less than last year Purchases climbed two percent over the week but remain unchanged from 2017. Mortgage rates are nearly a full percentage point higher than they were this time last year, largely the cause for the decreases in mortgage application volume. Conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.75 percent, 15-year rates are near 4.25 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: purchase, Mortgage applications, refinance, Mortgage rates

Mortgage activity dragged down by higher rates

Posted by The Aramco Group on Fri, Oct 19, 2018 @ 14:10 PM

Last week mortgage applications fell by the largest seasonally adjusted percentage in a year, the latest sign that recent increases in borrowing costs are causing pause in the housing market. The Mortgage Bankers Association is reporting that during the week ended October 12, total mortgage applications fell 7.1 percent.

Refinances experienced a significant drop during the week, 9 percent compared to the week prior. This represents the largest decline since November 2017. Mortgage rate increases have the sharpest impact on homeowners looking to refinance their existing home loans.

Although homebuyer demand remains strong, affordability struggles are slowing the rate of purchases. Applications to purchase a home fell 6 percent during the week but remain 2.5 percent higher than the same week last year.

Today, conforming no-point 30-year fixed mortgage rates are averaging 4.75 percent, 15-year rates are near 4.25 percent and the 5-year ARM is averaging 4.25 percent.

Do you have a question for Real Estate & Mortgage Analyst Mehran Aram? Submit your queries about a home purchase, refinance, or reverse mortgage via Aramco.Biz, social media (#AramcoReport), or over the phone at (866) 381-8888 and your questions may be featured in an upcoming article.

Topics: homeowners, Housing Market, Mortgage applications, refinance, Mortgage rates, Purchase Applications

ARAMCO Report - Tuesday May 26, 2015

Posted by The Aramco Group on Tue, May 26, 2015 @ 17:05 PM

Purchases out pace refinances, first time since December

More people sought mortgages in order to purchase a home during the month of April 2015 than did those who were looking to refinance according Ellie Mae — a mortgage processing company. This is the first month since December 2014 that purchases outpaced refinances.

Approximately 52 percent of mortgages were for purchases in April as opposed to the 47 percent that were for refinances.

Purchase originations should continue to outpace refinance applications as low interest rates tick up over the course of 2015. This is because the financial reasons that lead households to purchase a new home are different than the reasons households might seek to refinance.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen again corroborated on 5/22/15 that it will be “appropriate” for the Fed to raise interest rates later this year. This one of the primary reasons purchase originations should continue to outpace refinances for the rest of 2015 as a healthier economy and stronger labor market should offset potential homebuyer concern that mortgage rates will go up in the future.

Potential homebuyers or people currently looking to refinance will find current mortgage rates near all-time lows as conforming no point 30-year mortgage rates average 3.875 percent while 15-year rates average 3.125 percent.

For more information on a home purchase, refinance, or a reverse mortgage, visit our website at Aramco.Biz or call me at (877) 700-0942. This is Mehran Aram with today's ARAMCO Report.

Topics: Fed, Housing Market, Fed Chairwoman, 30 year fixed rates, Federal Reserve, Mortgage applications, Refinancing